Tesla Recent Stock Crash: What’s Next for Investors?

ezra Dural
ezra Dural

The recent challenges faced by Tesla (TSLA) have left many investors on edge as the electric vehicle (EV) giant endures its third consecutive stock price decline following quarterly earnings releases. In this article, we will delve into the underlying reasons for Tesla’s recent setbacks, explore historical patterns post-earnings slumps, and highlight crucial thresholds that investors should monitor as they navigate the dynamic landscape of Tesla’s stock.

A Challenging Quarter for Tesla (TSLA)

In the challenging third quarter of 2023, Tesla faced a significant hurdle. The stock price took a steep nosedive, plummeting by 9.3% and settling at $220.11. This unfortunate event signifies the third quarterly decline in a row for Tesla shares, sparking concerns about the road ahead. The primary factors contributing to this downturn are profit margins and pricing.

  1. Profit Margins: Tesla’s operating profit margins slid below 8%, a substantial drop of nearly 10 percentage points compared to the prior year. This decline reflects the headwinds Tesla faces in preserving robust margins amid competitive pricing pressures.
  2. Pricing Pressure: Tesla’s decision to lower prices impacted its profit margins adversely. The combination of these factors has cast a shadow over investor sentiment.

Elon Musk’s Concerns

During Tesla’s recent conference call, CEO Elon Musk voiced his apprehensions, adding to the uncertainty among investors. Musk underscored the challenges posed by high-interest rates impacting consumer demand and the turbulent economic landscape that Tesla must navigate.

Historical Insights: Tesla (TSLA)

Despite the recent setbacks, historical data suggests that Tesla may experience a modest recovery. On average, Tesla shares have risen by 0.4% the day following earnings drop and have shown improvement on seven occasions. Moreover, one week after such downturns, shares have, on average, increased by 1.4%, providing a glimmer of hope for investors.

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Key Levels to Watch

Investors are advised to keep a close eye on specific price levels that can influence Tesla’s stock performance. Three significant levels, identified by market technician Frank Cappelleri, include:

  1. $222: If Tesla’s stock falls to this point, it would have given up 38% from its starting point at approximately $123 per share at the beginning of the year. This is a crucial threshold that technical traders monitor, potentially signaling an entry point for buyers.
  2. $217: This price corresponds to previous highs in both February and June and may serve as a support level.
  3. $214: Representing the 200-day moving average, this is a pivotal indicator for many investors. A breach below $214 could indicate further challenges for Tesla’s stock.

Tesla’s recent struggles in the stock market can be traced back to issues related to profit margins, pricing, and concerns raised by CEO Elon Musk. Nonetheless, historical trends indicate the potential for a modest recovery. It’s imperative for investors to keep a vigilant watch on the key levels mentioned above and assess whether Tesla can withstand the current challenges and regain its upward momentum.

Tesla is no stranger to stock market volatility, particularly around earnings reports. For those willing to navigate these ups and downs, the pioneer in the electric vehicle industry still offers substantial promise.

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